Reform will still be the next general election winners. Which is good. lefties are finished.
It depends what you mean by “winners”.
On the basis of current polls and other indications, Reform UK will probably be the largest party after the 2029 General Election. However it is very unlikely they will have an overall majority.
That “unlikelihood” is increased by the following recent events: Reform's disappointing performance in the Makerfield by-election; the rise of Restore Britain; the fact that Burnham’s government may come to be considerably more popular than Starmer’s; and Farage’s recent foolish, shady and unpleasant behaviour.
However as things stand, yes, Reform UK will probably be the largest party.
So what happens then? Kemi Badenoch has insisted that the Conservatives will not go into a coalition with Reform. But “never say never” is the oldest mantra in the political book, and more often breached than observed.
However if Badenoch sticks to her position, that leaves only the option of an “anti-Reform” coalition that would almost certainly need to include both Labour and the Conservatives – and it might reasonably be argued that hell would freeze over before that happens.
So, only one thing is certain after the next election: at one end of the scale, a lot of very difficult horse-trading; at the other end, complete chaos.
The compromise solution may be to choose Count Binface as Prime Minister since, in announcing that he will stand in the Clacton by-election, Binface said: "I will be a unity candidate and pledge to build at least one affordable house.”