A Doc Holliday diatribe follows .....
2m was always a simplistic measure , clearly face to face is much higher risk than back to back. side to side falls in between
so is 2m face to face or 1 m otherwise too difficult for the public to comprehend ?
Yes we are all idiots in the eyes of the government.
It is a general principle not an exact science and the distance
MUST take into account the time spent within that distance as well as other factors such as indoors v outdoors, very enclosed indoor environments poor ventilation and any PPE being worn.
I posted about this in another thread
https://www.ukpunting.com/index.php?topic=278158.msg2871319#msg2871319This Lancet study giving rise to recent articles was commissioned by the WHO and published a couple of weeks ago. It is really just a review of a large number of existing studies all of which vary in their findings. The figures therefore quoted in the media are IMO pretty meaningless in terms of accuracy, especially because the time factor within a zone is so variable.
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WHO advocate 1mtr rule. So you can pick and choose which ones to believe..
The WHO position is that it should be
at least 1 metre. 1 metre is a minimum, but beyond that is safer
External Link/Members OnlyWith other respiratory viruses there is a great deal of spread by coughing and sneezing which bumps the distance up. With Covid sneezing is rare and you would hope that anyone who has a cough (unlike colds and flu) would be self isolating. This does therefore allow some flexibility as transmission by speech from asymptomatic carriers would be more likely and 1 metre becomes more viable. Bear in mind that at two metres you may drift occasionally just by leaning forward for example into 1.5 metres albeit briefly. At one metre and you enter the red zone briefly you are increasing the risk considerably.
Whatever the distance masks will reduce the risk further, but the UK is all over the place with this and have boxed themselves into a corner.
What should happen is that the distance should be flexible to suit the circumstances. If you can keep 3 metres or more do so especially indoors. We know 2 metres has worked for the supermarkets which have remained open all the time and the infection rate has dropped so stick with it. Other retailers can also copy this.
If that causes problems for smaller retailers then would 1.5 be better? I personally think 1.5 is acceptable.
I would say that 1 metre is pushing it and it is only a minority of countries who are with 1 metre. The majority are 1.5 to 2 metres. The Germans (don't mention the war) are at 1.5 and they have generally done well in European comparisons. Also nearly all of those countries who are at 1 metre have much lower infection rates and far better T&T setups eg Singapore China. We don’t have that safety factor. Looking at the way the data is bottoming out we may never have that safety margin?
Someone just needs to make a decision..
Agreed. That is the problem though the government needs to make that decision but is desperate for the scientists to change their mind … and I cannot see that happening especially given the continued high rate of infection in the UK.
Boris therefore needs to be honest and say we need to make an economic decision and not one based on the science. In order to protect jobs we need to potentially increase the risk of transmission within the hospitality sector. People can then make their own minds up whether to sit within 1 metre next to someone inside the pub all night or not whilst not wearing a mask.