The stats that you are quoting are they general or are they specific to sexual contact with prostitutes. Also they are not taking into consideration whether the wg has ever been an intreveinous drug user l.
I think just hoping that because stats show risk is not that large is being truly reckless.
If the stats are so correct how does that account for the epidemics of aids/hiv in South of the Sahara Africa where in some places 60% of wgs have hiv. And most of them have contracted it from sex not drugs or blood transfusion.?
Africa is not directly comparable with the UK for various reasons. The main one being that due to higher availability of testing and medicine here in the UK those that do have HIV are discovered and treated - and HIV treatment reduces the viral load by over 95% - in short meaning that HIV patients being treated in this country are not actually continuing to spread the disease even if they are engaging in unprotected sex. In Africa the lack of detection and treatment means the disease spreads unhindered.
So firstly to be clear if you fuck someone who is HIV positive but undergoing treatment the risks of infection is incredibly low. Certainly not negligible but very small much lower than the general stats I quoted.
The other statistics I quoted relating to transmission of HIV are indeed general and to be clear they are purely related to your chance of catching HIV from an infected person during any bareback sexual encounter. So firstly it makes no difference whether they are a WG or an intravenous drug user. Secondly there is no clear view as to whether there is any less risk with unprotected oral vs unprotected vaginal sex. Unfortunately people who have sex tend to do both so there are no real stats that isolate oral sex. If you assume oral is lower risk that's a dangerous assumption.
The factors that could increase the likelihood of infection include inflammation / open wounds / sores. So for example if she is menstruating or also has another STI this will certainly increase the possibility.
Likewise for you as a punter the likelihood of catching HIV is mainly down to the state of your undercarriage. If you have an STI or other ailment that results in inflammation or sores then of course you are much more likely to be receptive to infection. Also it should be obvious but avoiding shaving that area on the day you punt is a good starter. Did you also know for example that circumcision decreases the likelihood of a man catching HIV by up to 60%
? I happen to be circumcised so that's always good to know but not something I get blasé about.
So your chance of catching HIV from an infected individual - WG or otherwise - are very low unless you are very careless or dumb (punting after shaving and cutting your dick, or with an existing STI or other infection).
Secondly you have to compound the likelihood of catching HIV during any one encounter with the likelihood of the person having HIV in the first place.
According to research in the British Medical Journal
HIV is not widely prevalent in the population of London prostitutes - less than 1% of those not intravenously injecting drugs.
Of course as you rightly say you have no way of knowing if a WG was formerly an IV drug user - or even that their regular civvy partner isn't an IV drug user.
But still the evidence strongly suggests that the risk of finding an infected WG is quite low - certainly I would suggest < 1 in 50 or 2%. If she happens to not be aware she is infected and therefore is not taking antiviral drugs then - unless you have open sores / wounds - the chances of you catching HIV from one sexual encounter with her are still pretty low - ie in the region of 1 in 2,500 or 0.04%. If she knows she is infected and is being treated then the antivirals massively reduce the chance of her infecting you so the risk becomes almost astronomically small.
In my view if you want to engage in either OWO or bb sex the risk of contracting HIV is minimal as long as you take sensible precautions in terms of your choice of WG and ensuring your bits are in good nick as well.
Otherwise we'd have a HIV epidemic here in the punting community like in Africa and we clearly do not.