Suppression of virus by total lockdown is obviously hideously expensive. Twice or three times locking down is a disaster but taken to avoid mayhem in hospitals, morgues, and ultimately economy because they do reduce infections.
Very few countries managed well without a lockdown. These closed borders (then kept them tight), invested fast in capacity and testing and the crucial isolation part. Taiwan, Vietnam.
Some did one and hard like New Zealand, South Korea to some extent. Border control was stopped then made rigid. Testing and tracing plus again actually isolating carries on while doing disciplined infection control. South Korea are jumping on rises now getting all over a few hundred cases.
Countries like ours and many others failed at border control and continue to. Even when testing and tracing was in place, isolation enforcement wasn’t built in or invested in at all. Crazy as lockdowns are so much more expensive. The ill disciplined approach of such countries means the only effective way of buying time till vaccination (which is what it’s about) is to go in and out of hard lockdowns as when restrictions ease, the whole process isn’t good enough to stop it climbing again.
Economies are more fucked as you move down these categories. We’re in there with Spain, France, Italy, USA etc. We will be in and out of tough restrictions till all most 50’s and vulnerable are vaccinated as we cannot perform like the other countries.
I’m hoping the vaccines provide long lasting immunity and looking forward to the end of this shit in 6 months.
