After reading the covid19 thread I did some calculating. Let's say there are 70 million people in the country and instead of the 250 confirmed cases, let's assume there are 7000. That equates to one in ten thousand. The maximum incubation period is 14 days but it is mostly a lot less. So, the worst case scenario is that the girl sees 20 clients between the point at wish she becomes infectious and the time she becomes too ill to work or gets better. One in 10K divided by 20 is one in 500. That is about the same probability as picking up a coin and tossing 10 heads in a row or putting money on a random number on a roulette wheel, winning, letting it ride and winning again. (You can tell I don't buy national lottery tickets.)
I thought I better go see Barbie before the odds deteriorate. She has put on some weight but it is drop dead gorgeous extra material: firm with no sags or wrinkles. Before we got to it she told me that she had not had a customer since Saturday night, and this was Tuesday morning. You can imagine how pleased she was to see me and how hard she worked with her mouth. Anyway, all her friends are reporting the same slump in business.
Despite her poor English she is a lot of fun and we managed some covid jokes. I suggested she offer clients face masks. She said she was young and covid was no problem. She said I was old and if I died it would be "same same".
Anyway, about the probabilities. At a football match in the open air they say you are exposed to the two people immediately beside you. But if you watch the game on Sky in a pub with thirty slavering idiots, well, more fool you.
After this week I think I will have to abstain until the girls start advertising as having had covid and recovered and now safe to handle.
